It is clear that American deterrence messages do not do their job in deterring Iran and its terrorist arms, which continue to direct missile and drone strikes against American military bases in various regions of Iraq. This is something that the United States did not deny, which admitted on November 10 that 56 soldiers from its forces were injured as a result of 46 attacks launched. On American forces.
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It is also clear that the patience of the United States, whether strategic or otherwise, is extended to a certain degree, and on the other hand, Iran has a reserve of patience and the ability to test the limits of the patience of others, sufficient to discover the hiddenness of the American "will", that is, to explore the depths of what the White House is hiding and the extent of its seriousness in its repeated talk. About the repercussions of exposure to American forces in Iraq and Syria.
In a measured raising of US anger, Vedant Patel, deputy spokesman for the US State Department, said, "We have sent a loud and direct message of deterrence to Iran about our willingness to aggressively protect our personnel and interests." We note here that the most recent strike carried out by the US Army against facilities used by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and its affiliated militias was in eastern Syria on the 26th of last October.
The Pentagon statement was careful to point out that it was "for self-defense," in response to "a series of ongoing and largely unsuccessful attacks against American personnel in Iraq and Syria," while emphasizing continued care not to expand the conflict.
The final message that officials in President Biden's administration said was sent to Iran and Hezbollah through regional parties is that the United States is prepared to intervene militarily against them if they attack Israel, or if they harm American citizens.
The truth is that the two actions have been occurring at an intermittent but continuous pace since the seventh of last October, in what appears to be a "feeling of the pulse" or a "test of will" on the part of Iran and its militia arms, and nothing has changed except for the American counter-strikes that these terrorist arms have become accustomed to and which seem to have no effect on them. Seriously, consider Iran's profit and loss accounts.
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard and its terrorist militias deployed in the region have special profit and loss calculations. They do not care about the killing of their mercenaries, no matter how many people are killed, because the human reserve is enormous and numbers do not affect it in the way it does for Israel or the United States, just as the loss of bases or weapons depots does In Iraq or Syria, it has no weight compared to the great strategic goal that all of these closely aligned factions seek under the banner of what is known as the "resistance" axis.
These ideological and terrorist factions have declared and well-known goals. They seek to break the prestige of the United States, destroy the reputation of the American army, and achieve some goals that can be marketed as huge military victories against American influence.
This guarantees the leaders of these militias more loyalty and dependency among their supporters and supporters and also provides their human arsenals with more sympathetic elements that are subjected to "brainwashing" operations with repeated Iranian propaganda, which revolves around a mobilizational discourse that does not deviate from it.
The bottom line, then, is that the American threatening messages were preceded by messages exploring intentions and persistent attempts through mediators to build an indirect understanding with Iran and the Lebanese Hezbollah regarding drawing the lines of battle regionally and preventing its expansion.
These messages have not achieved their goals so far, but their tangible result was a gradual raising of the militias' ceiling and giving them the courage to enter the regional conflict line and perhaps paving the way for a significant expansion of its scope.
Matters on the ground were not limited to missile or drone attacks from Iraq, but rather extended to include the direct entry of the Houthi militia into the conflict, even shooting down an advanced American drone, the Pentagon fearing that its wreckage would fall into the hands of the Iranians!
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