Ariel Kahana

Ariel Kahana is Israel Hayom's senior diplomatic and White House correspondent.

Biden, it's time to strike Iran; it will lead to your reelection

Instead of being dragged further and further behind the world's number one sponsor of terror, it is right for America itself to take the initiative. This will save itself and the rest of humanity from a much harder war in the future, and will set regional peace right now.

 

The year 2040 is supposed to be our end. The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei, has set this date as the deadline for the liquidation of Israel. If there is anything we learned on the morning of the outbreak of the war – and not for the first time, to be honest – it is that these threats of annihilation must be taken completely seriously. Back in 2017, a digital clock was even set up in Tehran with a countdown to the end of Israel. By the way, the clock was temporarily removed in 2021, after some hidden hand tampered with and darkened the screen. Like Haman, like Hitler, like Yahya Sinwar – the ayatollahs want to wipe Israel off the map.

To achieve this goal, the Islamic Republic is patiently building its famous pincer disposition: Gaza in the south, Hezbollah and the militias in the north, and the Palestinians – whom Iran is arming heavily – inside Israel. At the same time, it is of course developing a military nuclear capability that will allow it to realize its vision when the time comes to do so. The Iranian chess play was slightly disrupted by Hamas' uncoordinated launch of the attack on October 7, but this deviation will not deter the Iranians from their morbid aspiration. This must be the working assumption. Like the old Nazis, the new ones also mean what they say.

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There is no need to dwell on the catastrophe that a nuclear bomb could inflict on Israel. Tens of thousands of people would be killed, infrastructure would be melted to the ground, and nuclear fallout would linger and spread for decades. Perhaps little Israel would survive, but it would become a city of ruins. Even before the bomb is dropped, the regional balance of power will have been reversed. Every action we take will have to be carried out with the view that there could be an Iranian nuclear response. As former minister Dan Meridor once said, inspired by the Yom Kippur prayer: "A nuclear bomb makes the small and the great equal." Just look east to North Korea to understand that.

When it comes to Iran, the deterrence against the United States is in even worse shape. Even before it has nuclear capabilities, Iran is causing the Americans much hesitation. Military experts in the US talk about it quite a bit in the media there. The strongest superpower in history is wary of Iran, like a lion afraid of a mouse.

Since October 7, there have been about 200 attacks on US bases and ships by Iranian proxies. Three American soldiers were killed, others were wounded, the damage to infrastructure has been extensive and global trade is suffering, shipping prices are skyrocketing, trade routes have been changed. Regional and, to some extent, global stability is being undermined. The damage to direct American interests is clear and undeniable.

All these shocks are a direct result of Iranian aggression, which is not limited to the Middle East. Iran is a leading supplier of weapons and know-how to Russia, the bitter rival of the United States. Thanks to Iran, Russia has been spared defeat by Ukraine, and instead, it is nibbling away at Ukrainian territory – an ally of the United States. And if that's not enough, this week China, Russia, and Iran announced that they will hold a joint naval exercise in the coming months. This is not the first time that the navies of the three countries will flex their muscles. Their message is directed at one man – Joseph (Joe) Robinette Biden Jr.

Biden does not want war, and he is not the first. The United States has always hated the role of world policeman that the West assigns it. Such was the case with President Woodrow Wilson, who did not want to intervene in World War I until Germany threatened to help Mexico invade the United States. So it was with FDR in World War II, until the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor.

Any level-headed person can see that this will be the case in the Middle East as well, and perhaps beyond. In the end, according to his murderous vision, Iran will strike Israel. Then, and only then, will America wake up. American public opinion will see such an attack as an attack on the US and no matter who the president is, he or she will undoubtedly use American power. That said, even from the American point of view – and let's put Israel aside for a moment – a reaction after the fact will be much more costly. Preempting the blow, which will surely come, will avert a costly war. 

The Iranians are smart and patient. They are preparing offensive attack drones, ballistic missiles, satellites, and nuclear bombs, of course. Their attack will come when they are ready for a direct confrontation with the US – a situation they are far from today. Therefore, in the meantime, they are weaving ties all over the world, including in South America. They have also renewed their alliance with Sudan, one of the Abraham Accords countries, which is torn by civil war. By 2040, they will likely be linked by defense alliances with Russia and China. And then, an American confrontation with Iran could turn into a world war.

These terrible developments can be stopped in one fell swoop. A preemptive and decisive American blow to Iran's nuclear industry will change the course of history and save the world. With an atomic bomb, Iran is a threat to world peace; what we are seeing today – before it has a bomb – is nothing but a taste of what is to come. Without an atomic bomb, Iran is set back 30 years, while the world can safely move forward. It's so obvious that it's painful to watch how the Americans won't acknowledge it. 

Uncle Joe must be saying to himself, "Here we go again, the Israelis want to drag us into their wars." He is right: Israel would undoubtedly be thrilled to see the Iranian nuclear threat removed. But we are just the appetizer. The US and the free world are the main course. First, they will take Tel Aviv, and then Manhattan. The US Navy is already deployed in the region in large numbers, and the US is being dragged into a war against its will. So, instead of being dragged further and further behind the world's number one sponsor of terror, it is right for America itself to take the initiative. This will save itself and the rest of humanity from a much harder war in the future and will set regional peace right now.

"The US Air Force, Navy, Marines, and Army operate together thousands of fighter jets, bombers, reconnaissance aircraft, transport aircraft, and other types of military aircraft," ChatGPT answers when asked how many fighter jets the US has. The sophisticated AI bot forgot to mention the many unmanned aircraft that America operates, and the cruise missiles in all their varieties. This is a strength unmatched by anyone else on the globe; no one could create a credible challenge to that currently. In short, in one day of battle, America can remove one of the root causes of global instability.

Lacking nuclear weapons and without Hamas - which Israel is dealing with - Iran's expansionist efforts will unravel. It will be permanently cripple. In the worst-case scenario, it will retaliate with a missile attack on the Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Israel – a price that the countries of the region are definitely willing to pay. If it goes to war of attrition and activates Hezbollah, it will lose the second arm of the pincer and risk triggering Israel's second strike capabilities. The Iranians are smart, and they won't do that. So if America launches an offensive, this will remove a global threat, send the mullahs into hysterics, and cause them to stop the Houthi attacks on ships in the Gulf of Aden, the shipment of weapons to the Middle East, the attacks on American bases in the region and the spread of terror around the world. Yes, it's much simpler than it looks.

Biden has every justification to use force. For three years, he and his people have done everything, absolutely everything, to return to the nuclear deal and turn a blind eye to all of Iran's crimes. He unfroze funds, ignored illegal smuggling, turned a blind eye to the imprisonment of Americans, gave up countless demands on the nuclear program, and did nothing about its support for Russia.

Iran's response to this patience has been a refusal to reach any kind of nuclear agreement, arming extremist organizations around the world, aiding enemies of the US and the West, led by Russia, and of course, inspiring the most horrific terrorist attack humanity has ever seen. In other words, Biden's outstretched hand was met with nothing but one punch after another from Khamenei. Isn't it time to put an end to this humiliation, and also to set America and humanity free from a rogue state that threatens the world? This is about one day of battle, Uncle Joe. Success is assured, and chances are it will also lead to victory in the elections. Isn't it worth it?

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