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Home Special Coverage 2021 Election On the Ballot

In first, poll predicts Blue and White's electoral demise

A survey by a local Israeli radio station sees Benny Gantz's party fall below the four-seat electoral threshold. Likud holds steady with 29 seats. Nearly half of the public opposes making far-right Otzma Yehudit party leader Itamar Ben-Gvir a minister.

by  ILH Staff
Published on  02-15-2021 12:27
Last modified: 02-15-2021 12:27
Once Netanyahu's greatest rival, Gantz is down, if not outReuters/Amir Cohen

Blue and White leader Benny Gantz (Reuters/Amir Cohen/File) | Photo: Reuters/Amir Cohen

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Is Blue and White on its way out of Israeli politics? A poll conducted Monday by a local Israeli radio station predicted that come the March 23 elections, the party will fail to get into parliaments.

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Electoral surveys so far have been consistent in showing that Blue and White – currently Likud's national unity government partner – is teetering on the brink of the four-seat electoral threshold. Monday's poll, which aired on Tel Aviv-based 103FM Radio is the first to predict Blue and White's political demise.

The sampling, by Panel Politics, comprised 527 eligible voters and has a statistical margin of error of 4.3%.

It projected that were elections held at this time, the Likud would win 29 Knesset seats, followed by Yesh Atid (18), New Hope (14), Yamina (13), the Joint Arab List (9), Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party Shas (8), Ashkenazi Haredi party United Torah Judaism (7), Yisrael Beytenu (7), Labor (6), the Religious Zionist Party (5), and Meretz (4).

Blue and White, the Economic party, and Ra'am fail to cross the electoral threshold.

Asked whether Itamar Ben-Gvir – the leader of the far-right Otzma Yehudit party who, after merging with RZP could get elected into parliament for the first time – should be named a minister, 25% of the respondent said yes, 46% opposed the notion, and 29% said they had no opinion on the matter.

Asked whether they approve of the Joint Arab List becoming part of the coalition in the event the government is formed by the Center-Left bloc, 21% supported the idea, 64% opposed it, and 15% said they had no opinion on the matter.

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