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Home Special Coverage 2021 Election On the Ballot

Poll shows Blue and White hovering dangerously close to electoral threshold

The latest Channel 12 News survey sees Likud hold lead with 28 Knesset seats, while Blue and White plunges to just four mandates – the minimal prerequisite to get into parliament.

by  ILH Staff
Published on  12-28-2020 08:39
Last modified: 02-01-2021 07:36
2nd Gantz aide compares Trump to Hitler; says US president 'using' IsraelAFP/Jack Guez

Defense Minister Benny Gantz | File photo: AFP/Jack Guez

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As the fourth election campaign Israel has plunged into in the past two years gains momentum, a poll by Channel 12 News showed Sunday that while the Likud continues to maintain a lead, Blue and White's future is anything but certain.

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Were elections held at this time, the survey found that Likud would win 28 Knesset seats and Gideon Sa'ar's New Hope Party would secure 19 mandates.

The survey, conducted by the Midgam polling institute projected that Yesh Atid would win 16 seats, followed by the Joint Arab List (11), Yamina (13), the Joint Arab List (11), ultra-Orthodox Sephardi party Shas (8), Ashkenazi Haredi party United Torah Judaism (8), Yisrael Beytenu (7), Blue and White (5), and Meretz (5).

As previous polls have shown, the Labor, Gesher, Habayit Hayehudi and the far-Right Otzma Yehudit parties are not expected to pass the prerequisite four-Knesset-seat electoral threshold.

An electoral bid by a party headed former Yesh Atid MK Ofer Shelah is also expected to fail.

The poll daughter found that a bid by popular Tel Aviv Mayor Ron Huldai to form a party that would incorporate the remnants of Labor, Shelah and potential high-profile Blue and White MKs would see Likud win 28 seats, followed by New Hope (18), Yesh Atid (14), Yamina (12), the Joint Arab List (11), Shas (8), United Torah Judaism (8), Huldai's party (7), Yisrael Beytenu (6), Blue and White (4) and Meretz (4).

The Midgam poll included 510 respondents ages 18 and over and has a statistical margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

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