A new poll by i24NEWS and Israel Hayom, conducted by the Maagar Mohot Institut, indicates that only 53% of respondents are "very sure" of how they will vote on Sept. 17. Another 31% said they were "quite sure" about their decision. A full 15% of respondents said their decision about which party to support was "somewhat certain" to "not at all certain."
The far-right Otzma Yehudit party has the staunchest supporters: according to the poll, 91% of Otzma Yehudit supporters said they were certain to vote for the party.
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The haredi parties United Torah Judaism and Shas are also expected to see a strong turn-out, with 78% and 72%, respectively of their supporters telling pollsters that they were certain to vote for those parties on Election Day.
A higher percentage of Blue and White supporters (56%) than Likud voters (46%) said they were very certain about whom they would be supporting on Sept. 17.
Only 45% of supporters of Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beytenu party, which according to most polls is likely to come out of the election in a position to decide the make-up of the next government, said they would certainly be voting for Yisrael Beytenu.
Some 50% of respondents who support Yamina (formerly the New Right) said they were very certain of their choice, compared to 39% of respondents who support Labor-Gesher. Slightly more than half (53%) of supporters of the other major left-wing party, the Democratic Union, said they were very certain that they would be voting for the Democratic Union.
Only 37% of respondents who support the Joint Arab List said they were very certain they would be voting for that party.
The poll also looked at which other parties' respondents were also inclined to support their party, if at all. According to the results, 16% of Likud supporters said the center-left Blue and White would be their second choice. Some 100% of Labor voters said that Blue and White would be their second choice, compared to 20% of Yamina supporters and 44% of Yisrael Beytenu supporters who said that Blue and White was their No. 2 choice.
The Likud was the second choice for 10% of United Torah Judaism supporters; 40% of Yamina supporters; 33% of Yisrael Beytenu supporters; and 50% of Shas supporters.
The poll attempted to project the number of seats each party would win based only on supporters who said they were very certain about their choices. In that scenario, 31 seats were projected for Blue and White, compared to 30 for the Likud. Yisrael Beytenu was predicted to finish in third place, with 11 seats, followed by the Joint Arab List, with 10.
On the Left, Labor-Gesher was projected to win six seats and the Democratic Union was predicted to win four seats.
On the Right, eight seats were predicted for Yamina, and Otzma Yehudit gained a seat, winning a predicted five seats.
United Torah Judaism and Shas were predicted to win eight and seven seats, respectively.
